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Thinking

Investing with Perspective

A space for evolving perspectives on investing— lifting the hood on what's happening inside the funds, alongside our thinking, insights from third party managers, and informed views on managing wealth in a changing world.

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Monthly Report
Nuclear Power Aerial - Monthly

April 2026 Market Review: AI Recovery, Energy Shock and the Inflation Wave Ahead

Global equities recovered sharply in April despite continued disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and elevated oil prices. AI-related holdings and Asian markets led performance, while concerns increasingly shifted towards …

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Quarterly Report
Spring Path through bluebells - Quarterly - Q1

Q1 2026 Quarterly Review: Energy Shock, Institutional Risk and Global Market Repricing

Q1 2026 was defined by geopolitical escalation, energy market disruption and growing questions around institutional credibility in the US. Markets responded with sharp volatility, sector rotation and a reassessment of …

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Monthly Report
Aerial Oil Storage - Monthly

March 2026 Market Review: Energy Crisis, Market Volatility and the Return of Stagflation Risk

A major energy shock drove volatility and raised stagflation concerns. Markets reacted to shifting economic expectations. March was the month that a risk many had been watching from a distance …

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Monthly Report
Ventilation Pipes - Monthly

February 2026 Market Review: AI Rotation, Energy Shock Risk and Emerging Market Leadership

AI entered a more selective phase while energy risks increased. Emerging markets continued to lead performance. Global equities delivered another positive month in February, with leadership continuing to broaden beyond …

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Monthly Report
Aerial Fish Farm - Monthly

January 2026 Market Review: Institutional Risk, Emerging Market Strength and Gold Surge

Institutional uncertainty drove capital shifts. Emerging markets outperformed while gold benefited from safe-haven demand. January was shaped less by economic data and more by events that challenged the institutional foundations …

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Monthly Report
Oil Storage spheres - Monthly

December 2025 Market Review: Central Bank Divergence, Commodity Extremes and AI Questions

Diverging central bank policies and commodity extremes defined December. Investors questioned the long-term returns from AI investment. The Regime Shift Unfolds The month began with the US Federal Reserve delivering …

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Monthly Report
Aerial Dam View - Monthly

November 2025 Market Review: AI Volatility, Diversification Benefits and UK Budget Stability

Volatility returned as AI sentiment shifted. Diversification across asset classes supported portfolio resilience. November was a largely flat month overall for investors following a long stretch of gains earlier in …

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Weekly Update
Digital Grid - Weekly

3 November 2025: Weekly Update – AI Spending, Trade Truce and Berkshire’s Cash Pile

The final week of October capped a strong month for the T. Bailey funds, with returns across the range of 2.5% to 3.9% that were driven by the broad breadth …

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Monthly Report
Aerial Spillway - Monthly

October 2025 Market Review: Shutdown Volatility, Gold Surge and AI-Led Market Strength

Political uncertainty drove volatility, but strong AI-related performance supported equities. Gold continued to benefit from risk aversion. The month opened with a US government shutdown after Congress failed to reach …

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Monthly Report
Drinking Water Aerial - Monthly

September 2025 Market Review: Fiscal Stress, Safe-Haven Gold and AI Exuberance Risks

Fiscal concerns weighed on markets while gold surged as a safe haven. AI valuations began to face increased scrutiny. September began with bond markets questioning the longer-term fiscal credibility of …

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Monthly Report
Suspension Bridge - Monthly

August 2025 Market Review: Labour Weakness, Policy Uncertainty and Commodity Strength

Weak US labour data and political disruption unsettled markets. Gold reached new highs while equities remained resilient despite macro uncertainty. August began with a downward jolt from the United States, …

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Monthly Report
Aerial Bridge over water - Monthly

July 2025 Market Review: Market Resilience, US Policy Shifts and Emerging Market Opportunities

Markets showed resilience despite US tariff risks and geopolitical tensions. Strong equity performance was supported by AI leadership and emerging market opportunities. In July 2025, financial markets were significantly influenced …

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Monthly Report
Distribution Warehouse Aerial - Monthly

June 2025 Market Review: Energy Shocks, AI Acceleration and Shifting Global Trade Dynamics

Energy market volatility dominated June as geopolitical tensions drove sharp movements in oil prices. At the same time, accelerating AI adoption continued to reshape market dynamics and sector performance. June …

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Monthly Report
Farm Production - Monthly

May 2025 Market Review: Trade Policy Volatility, USD Weakness and Global Equity Rebound

Trade tensions eased in May, supporting a recovery in global equity markets. A weaker US dollar and continued strength in gold reinforced the importance of diversification across asset classes. Following …

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Weekly Update
Digital Grid - Weekly

16 May 2025: Weekly Update – US-China Tariff Pause and Market Fragility

A temporary pause in US-China tariffs sparked a sharp market rally, though structural economic and geopolitical risks continued to threaten stability. This past week, global financial markets experienced a dramatic …

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Monthly Report
Commercial Roof - Monthly

April 2025 Market Review: Tariff Shockwaves, USD Weakness and a Gold-Led Recovery

Markets experienced sharp volatility following new US tariff announcements before stabilising later in the month. Gold rallied strongly as investors sought protection from currency weakness and geopolitical uncertainty. Global markets …

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Weekly Update
Forex digital graph - Weekly

4 April 2025: Weekly Update – Global Market Sell-Off and Trade Escalation

Financial markets experienced a historic collapse last week, triggered by a dramatic escalation in trade tensions between the United States and China. On Wednesday, President Donald Trump announced sweeping new …

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Monthly Report
Highway Intersection Train - Monthly

March 2025 Market Review: Tariff Shock, European Stimulus and Commodity Strength

Tariff escalation drove volatility in March, while significant fiscal stimulus in Europe supported regional markets. Commodity strength, particularly in gold and copper, played a key role in portfolio performance. March …

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Monthly Report
Water Bridges - Monthly

February 2025 Market Review: AI Shifts, Tariff Volatility and Europe’s Rising Influence

AI developments continued to reshape market leadership in February, while tariff tensions and inflation uncertainty weighed on sentiment. European markets showed increasing resilience amid shifting global dynamics. The opening months …

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Monthly Report
Container Ship Aerial - Monthly

January 2025 Market Review: AI Disruption, Tariff Volatility and Commodities Strength

Strong US data pushed bond yields higher in January, creating pressure on global markets. Commodities performed strongly, while AI developments introduced new uncertainty into tech valuations. The opening month of …

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Weekly Update
Digital Data Flow - Weekly

24 January 2025: Weekly Update – DeepSeek, AI Competition and US Exceptionalism

Commodities continued to perform strongly while equity market leadership broadened beyond technology, supporting a more diversified investment backdrop. Following President Trump’s success at the US election, financial markets have embraced …

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Weekly Update
Deep Learning - Weekly / Thought Pieces

17 January 2025: Weekly Update – Commodities Strength and Market Rotation

Bond market stability supported broader equity participation while commodities, particularly gold and copper, continued to perform strongly. An economic and political state of uncertainty is expected to peak on 20 …

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